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How many copies did Merchants of Kaidan sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 29k–47k
$120k–$323k after Steam's cut $219k–$497k before Steam's cut
from 521 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Merchants of Kaidan and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Merchants of Kaidan's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 43k–52k
best case 586k (Shop Titans)
Games like Merchants of Kaidan

A typical game among these

≈ 43k–52k copies

≈ $220k–$304k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shop Titans at ≈ 446k–725k copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 653 reviews in their first month; the range was 118 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Economy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Shop Keeper. The breakout hits carry Idler + Shop Keeper + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shop Titans
2020
Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
IdlerShop Keeper
Gladiator Guild Manager: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAuto Battler
SAELIG
2017
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$165k–$443k after Steam's cut $300k–$682k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Kingdom Wars 2: Battles
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39k–64k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
947 reviews
Mixed
StrategyMedieval
Synergy
2025
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$187k–$504k after Steam's cut $341k–$775k before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
StylizedCity Builder
TRADESMAN: Deal to Dealer
2026
Est. copies
≈ 39k–64k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$54k–$146k after Steam's cut $99k–$224k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessExploration
Space Warlord Organ Trading Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$119k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$493k before Steam's cut
$19.99
875 reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerClicker
Shoppe Keep
2016
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$165k–$444k after Steam's cut $300k–$683k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Mixed

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.