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How many copies did Dream Fight Will sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 645–1k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 26 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dream Fight Will and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dream Fight Will's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 798–2k
best case 96k (UNDERDOGS)
Games like Dream Fight Will

A typical game among these

≈ 798–2k copies

≈ $1k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~35 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: UNDERDOGS at ≈ 73k–119k copies, ≈ $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 570.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Fighter (7 of 8) and Action-Adventure (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Action-Adventure, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Physics + Violent + Rogue-lite; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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84x vs typical
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