How much revenue did UNDERDOGS make?

$604k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did UNDERDOGS sell?

Q: How many copies did UNDERDOGS sell?

73k to 119k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 73k–119k; $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid UNDERDOGS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including UNDERDOGS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 88k–717k

best case 2.2M (Bodycam)

Games like UNDERDOGS

A typical game among these

≈ 88k–717k copies

≈ $943k–$7.6M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Bodycam at ≈ 1.7M–2.7M copies, ≈ $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 887 reviews in their first month; the range was 63 to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share VR (6 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Realistic, priced around $33.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Bodycam 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.3M before Steam's cut	$33.32	67k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessFPS
X-Plane 12 2022	Est. copies ≈ 164k–266k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	7k reviews Very Positive	SimulationFlight
Arizona Sunshine® VR 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 68k–111k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $562k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Very Positive	VRAction
Grimlord 2024	Est. copies ≈ 29k–46k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $236k–$634k after Steam's cut $429k–$975k before Steam's cut	$29.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	VRSouls-like
BONELAB 2022	Est. copies ≈ 509k–828k 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	21k reviews Very Positive	VRPhysics
The Break-In 2025	Est. copies ≈ 65k–106k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $357k–$961k after Steam's cut $650k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	VRMultiplayer
Amazing Frog? 2014	Est. copies ≈ 656k–1.1M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	12k reviews Very Positive	Early Access4 Player Local
HARD BULLET 2020	Est. copies ≈ 163k–264k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $894k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Very Positive	VRGore