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How many copies did Whisker Squadron: Survivor sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–22k
$76k–$203k after Steam's cut $138k–$313k before Steam's cut
from 555 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Whisker Squadron: Survivor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Whisker Squadron: Survivor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.3M–10.1M
best case 11.5M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Whisker Squadron: Survivor

A typical game among these

≈ 6.3M–10.1M copies

≈ $12.1M–$63.9M after Steam's cut

from ~267k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.8M–14.2M copies, ≈ $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 129k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.