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How many copies did King Of Water sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$351–$944 after Steam's cut $639–$1k before Steam's cut
from 52 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid King Of Water and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including King Of Water's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–742k
best case 655k (The Test)
Games like King Of Water

A typical game among these

≈ 26k–742k copies

≈ $405k–$2.6M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Test at ≈ 499k–810k copies, ≈ $273k–$734k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 1k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (6 of 8) and Immersive Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choose Your Own Adventure + Simulation, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
60 Seconds! Reatomized
2019
Est. copies
≈ 566k–919k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
2DChoose Your Own Adventure
60 Seconds!
2015
Est. copies
≈ 571k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$8.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based TacticsExploration
Romance Coaching 101: Couple's Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1 reviews
1 user reviews
Choose Your Own AdventureCo-op
Cyanotype Daydream -The Girl Who Dreamed the World-
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$220k–$591k after Steam's cut $400k–$909k before Steam's cut
$39.99
806 reviews
Very Positive
The Willow Man
2023
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$142–$385 after Steam's cut $259–$592 before Steam's cut
$6.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
ActionHorror
Inverted Angel
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut
$6.99
573 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureArtificial Intelligence
DevTycoon
2025
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before Steam's cut
$4.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
Choose Your Own Adventure2D Platformer

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