How much revenue did Alien: Isolation make?

$41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Alien: Isolation sell?

Q: How many copies did Alien: Isolation sell?

3.8M to 6.1M copies, based on its 67k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.8M–6.1M; $41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut; from 67k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alien: Isolation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alien: Isolation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.1M–12.9M

best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)

Games like Alien: Isolation

A typical game among these

≈ 5.1M–12.9M copies

≈ $46.2M–$80.4M after Steam's cut

from ~193k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 55k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (6 of 8) and Horror (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Content Warning 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut	$7.99	164k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpHorror
Lethal Company 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12.7M–20.6M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	511k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Online Co-OpHorror
Outlast 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	140k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
DOOM 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	222k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSGore
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
Subnautica: Below Zero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.7M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	109k reviews Very Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
SCP: Secret Laboratory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 8.1M–13.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	235k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayMultiplayer