How much revenue did Magic Axolotl make?

$2k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Magic Axolotl sell?

Q: How many copies did Magic Axolotl sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 120 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut; from 120 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magic Axolotl and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magic Axolotl's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 204–651

best case 19k (Mad Bullets)

Games like Magic Axolotl

A typical game among these

≈ 204–651 copies

≈ $351–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~12 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mad Bullets at ≈ 14k–23k copies, ≈ $59k–$158k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 11 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Arcade, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Action + Western + On-Rails Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mad Bullets 2016	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 29x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$243k before Steam's cut	$14.99	343 reviews Very Positive	ActionWestern
Attack on Inirea 2025	Est. copies ≈ 521–846 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	21 reviews Mostly Positive	ArcadeCasual
BeachRun 2022	Est. copies ≈ 620–1k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$24.99	25 reviews Mixed	CasualRacing
Little Crab Fisher 2023	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	17 reviews Mostly Positive	ClickerCasual
Gems And Knight 2023	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $190–$512 after Steam's cut $346–$788 before Steam's cut	$6.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	AdventureRPG
Kitsu's Destiny 2022	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut	$4.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	Turn-Based Tactics Rogue-lite
Tools Up! Ultimate Edition 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–7k 15x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $42k–$112k after Steam's cut $75k–$172k before Steam's cut	$34.99	174 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionCasual
Trouble in Pacifica 2024	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $95–$255 after Steam's cut $173–$393 before Steam's cut	$1.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	Side ScrollerExploration