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How many copies did Mad Bullets sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$243k before Steam's cut
from 343 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mad Bullets and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mad Bullets's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 838–163k
best case 3.7M (Call of Juarez: Gunslinger)
Games like Mad Bullets

A typical game among these

≈ 838–163k copies

≈ $2k–$809k after Steam's cut

from ~348 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Call of Juarez: Gunslinger at ≈ 2.8M–4.6M copies, ≈ $11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 431.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Western + FPS, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dynamic Shooting VR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Positive
VRAction
Call of Juarez: Gunslinger
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
128x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
WesternFPS
Kill The Crows
2023
Est. copies
≈ 79k–128k
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$108k–$291k after Steam's cut $197k–$447k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionWestern
Wild Guns Reloaded
2017
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$71k–$191k after Steam's cut $129k–$294k before Steam's cut
$14.99
501 reviews
Very Positive
ActionWestern
The Typing of The Dead: Overkill
2013
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
TypingOn-Rails Shooter
Western 1849 Reloaded
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$5.99
194 reviews
Very Positive
ActionIndie
Wild Baffo
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$367–$989 after Steam's cut $668–$2k before Steam's cut
$5.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
ShooterWestern
King Bullseye: Headshot Training
2021
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$3.99
27 reviews
Positive
On-Rails ShooterChess

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