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How many copies did King Bullseye: Headshot Training sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$735–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid King Bullseye: Headshot Training and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including King Bullseye: Headshot Training's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4k–11k
best case 342k (The Typing of The Dead: Overkill)
Games like King Bullseye: Headshot Training

A typical game among these

≈ 4k–11k copies

≈ $15k–$111k after Steam's cut

from ~204 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: The Typing of The Dead: Overkill at ≈ 260k–423k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 28 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 181.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (7 of 8) and On-Rails Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Typing + On-Rails Shooter, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Typing + Comedy + Education; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gal*Gun Returns
2021
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$124k–$333k after Steam's cut $225k–$512k before Steam's cut
$49.99
363 reviews
Very Positive
ShooterOn-Rails Shooter
CYGNI: All Guns Blazing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$107k–$287k after Steam's cut $194k–$442k before Steam's cut
$29.99
522 reviews
Mixed
On-Rails ShooterBullet Hell
Gigachess
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut
$3.99
95 reviews
Very Positive
IndieStrategy
Lethal VR
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8k–14k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$4.99
204 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionSimulation
The Typing of The Dead: Overkill
2013
Est. copies
≈ 260k–423k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
TypingOn-Rails Shooter
Agent Intercept
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$58k before Steam's cut
$9.99
206 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeDriving
Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $22k–$50k before Steam's cut
$19.99
88 reviews
Very Positive
VROn-Rails Shooter
BioCrisis
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$2.99
74 reviews
Very Positive
ActionPixel Graphics

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