How much revenue did GHOST at DAWN make?

$9k–$25k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did GHOST at DAWN sell?

Q: How many copies did GHOST at DAWN sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 68 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut; from 68 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GHOST at DAWN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GHOST at DAWN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.4M–10.3M

best case 12.2M (VRChat)

Games like GHOST at DAWN

A typical game among these

≈ 3.4M–10.3M copies

≈ $31.0M–$60.7M after Steam's cut

from ~129k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: VRChat at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Dark (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Anime.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
道不可道 2022	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $258–$694 after Steam's cut $469–$1k before Steam's cut	$1.99	19 reviews Mixed	AdventureSimulation
Killing Floor 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	129k reviews Very Positive	ZombiesMultiplayer
Doki Doki Literature Club! 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	229k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Visual Novel
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Outlast 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	65k reviews Very Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
Clown House (Palyaço Evi) 2015	Est. copies ≈ 59k–95k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Mixed	NoirHorror
告死天使之言 Death angel 2019	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$0.99	443 reviews Very Positive	IndieNoir