How much revenue did Bike Arena make?

$136–$365 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Bike Arena sell?

Q: How many copies did Bike Arena sell?

248 to 403 copies, based on its 10 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 248–403; $136–$365 after Steam's cut $247–$561 before Steam's cut; from 10 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bike Arena and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bike Arena's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52.2M–126.6M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Bike Arena

A typical game among these

≈ 52.2M–126.6M copies

≈ $356.1M–$773.9M after Steam's cut

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Survival (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Survival (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Left 4 Dead 2 2009	Est. copies ≈ 67.0M–108.9M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.1M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesCo-op
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Black Myth: Wukong 2024	Est. copies ≈ 30.1M–48.9M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MythologyAction RPG
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 98.5M–160.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.6M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox