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How big is Buy a Croquette!?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 214k–348k
from 9k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Buy a Croquette! and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Buy a Croquette!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 51k (The Crooked Man)
Games like Buy a Croquette!

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $2k–$8k after Steam's cut

from ~59 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: The Crooked Man at ≈ 39k–63k copies, ≈ $32k–$86k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Investigation, priced around $3. The breakout hits carry Casual; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dead Dreams
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
$7.99
67 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGMakerHorror
Death and Progress
2019
Est. copies
≈ 720–1k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$592–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
25 reviews
Positive
ExplorationRPGMaker
Silver Creek Falls: Chapter 1
2015
Est. copies
≈ 31k–51k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
637 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorInvestigation
1bitHeart
2017
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$26k–$70k after Steam's cut $48k–$108k before Steam's cut
$2.99
925 reviews
Very Positive
IndieCasual
The Walsingham Files - Chapter 1
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
59 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorInvestigation
The Ghosts of Hackney Mills
2017
Est. copies
≈ 929–2k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$3.99
27 reviews
Mixed
HorrorInvestigation
The Crooked Man
2018
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
22x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$2.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
2DHorror
MEMENTO
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$24k before Steam's cut
$5.99
86 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.