Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Dead Dreams sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 67 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Dreams and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Dreams's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 561k–876k
best case 2.9M (OMORI)
Games like Dead Dreams

A typical game among these

≈ 561k–876k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: OMORI at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Psychological Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Indie + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grimm's Hollow
2019
Est. copies
≈ 421k–684k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayPixel Graphics
Finding Paradise
2017
Est. copies
≈ 702k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
Impostor Factory
2021
Est. copies
≈ 319k–519k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$877k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
LISA: The Painful
2014
Est. copies
≈ 851k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dark HumorRPG
Changed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 565k–919k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$776k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
CuteDifficult
Tales of the Black Forest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 447k–726k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGRPGMaker
OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.