How much revenue did Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! make?

$16k–$44k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! sell?

Q: How many copies did Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 68 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $16k–$44k after Steam's cut $29k–$67k before Steam's cut; from 68 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 209k–519k

best case 775k (Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+)

Games like Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat!

A typical game among these

≈ 209k–519k copies

≈ $3.7M–$9.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ at ≈ 590k–959k copies, ≈ $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Female Protagonist (3 of 3) and Rhythm (3 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rhythm + Anime, priced around $39.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Melody's Escape 2016	Est. copies ≈ 200k–325k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $549k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $998k–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Music-Based Procedural GenerationRhythm
Space Channel 5: Part 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 118k–192k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAction
Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+ 2022	Est. copies ≈ 590k–959k 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut	$39.39	24k reviews Very Positive	RhythmAnime