How much revenue did The Complex: Expedition make?

$284k–$764k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Complex: Expedition sell?

Q: How many copies did The Complex: Expedition sell?

69k to 112k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 69k–112k; $284k–$764k after Steam's cut $516k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Complex: Expedition and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including The Complex: Expedition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–5.8M

best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)

Games like The Complex: Expedition

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–5.8M copies

≈ $11.5M–$28.1M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 418 to 35k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (3 of 4) and Co-op (2 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Lethal Company 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12.7M–20.6M 9.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	511k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Online Co-OpHorror
The Long Drive 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before Steam's cut	$15.99	57k reviews Very Positive	DrivingOpen World
Ghostwire: Tokyo 2022	Est. copies ≈ 526k–855k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut	$59.99	21k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerSupernatural
Backrooms: Escape Together 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	50k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerHorror