How much revenue did First Cut: Samurai Duel make?

$127k–$342k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did First Cut: Samurai Duel sell?

Q: How many copies did First Cut: Samurai Duel sell?

51k to 84k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 51k–84k; $127k–$342k after Steam's cut $231k–$525k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid First Cut: Samurai Duel and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including First Cut: Samurai Duel's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66k–163k

best case 487k (Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge)

Games like First Cut: Samurai Duel

A typical game among these

≈ 66k–163k copies

≈ $641k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge at ≈ 371k–603k copies, ≈ $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 947 reviews in their first month; the range was 343 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Side Scroller (7 of 8) and Beat 'em up (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Beat 'em up + Side Scroller, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Trek to Yomi 2022	Est. copies ≈ 77k–125k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
BLADECHIMERA 2025	Est. copies ≈ 37k–60k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $151k–$407k after Steam's cut $275k–$626k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
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The friends of Ringo Ishikawa 2018	Est. copies ≈ 97k–157k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $399k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $725k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ActionPixel Graphics
Eastern Exorcist 2021	Est. copies ≈ 168k–274k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $833k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	7k reviews Very Positive	ActionRPG
Double Dragon Gaiden: Rise Of The Dragons 2023	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $298k–$800k after Steam's cut $541k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Beat 'em upLocal Co-Op
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Shredder's Revenge 2022	Est. copies ≈ 371k–603k 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Beat 'em upMultiplayer