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How many copies did The Legend of Tianding sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 109k–178k
$601k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Legend of Tianding and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Legend of Tianding's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–3.2M
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like The Legend of Tianding

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–3.2M copies

≈ $30.2M after Steam's cut

from ~72k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 268k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$59.0M–$158.6M after Steam's cut $107.3M–$244.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
144k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSuperhero
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
BioShock Infinite
2013
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$76.0M–$204.4M after Steam's cut $138.2M–$314.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Very Positive
Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.7M–$98.7M after Steam's cut $66.8M–$151.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
72k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
STAR WARS™: The Old Republic™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
76k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization

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