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How many copies did Handless show sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 74–121
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before Steam's cut
from 3 reviews (3 user reviews)
Only 3 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Handless show and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Handless show's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 731k–1.2M
best case 12.8M (Assetto Corsa)
Games like Handless show

A typical game among these

≈ 731k–1.2M copies

≈ $7.0M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Assetto Corsa at ≈ 9.8M–15.9M copies, ≈ $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Automobile Sim (6 of 7) and Driving (6 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Automobile Sim, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry VR + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 2020
2020
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
DiRT 4
2017
Est. copies
≈ 559k–909k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Project Wingman
2020
Est. copies
≈ 556k–904k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
FlightAction
F1® 23
2023
Est. copies
≈ 437k–710k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
VRRacing
DiRT Rally
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
40k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSimulation
Project CARS 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 634k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.