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How many copies did Mount & Blade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 426k–691k
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mount & Blade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mount & Blade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.1M–20.3M
best case 57.5M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered)
Games like Mount & Blade

A typical game among these

≈ 4.1M–20.3M copies

≈ $46.7M–$199.6M after Steam's cut

from ~172k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered at ≈ 43.8M–71.2M copies, ≈ $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Fantasy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Albion Online
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
94k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayMMORPG
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition Deluxe (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$19.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
RPGOpen World
The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion® Game of the Year Edition (2009)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.8M–$37.2M after Steam's cut $25.2M–$57.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGOpen World
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
2011
Est. copies
≈ 20.1M–32.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$110.4M–$296.9M after Steam's cut $200.7M–$456.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG

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