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How big is 2D Dawg 2?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 6k–10k
from 251 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 2D Dawg 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 2D Dawg 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56k–125k
best case 149k (月に寄りそう乙女の作法)
Games like 2D Dawg 2

A typical game among these

≈ 56k–125k copies

≈ $471k–$833k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 月に寄りそう乙女の作法 at ≈ 113k–184k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 493 reviews in their first month; the range was 178 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Dating Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Word Game, priced around $40.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

候鸟
2023
Est. copies
≈ 99k–160k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$298k–$801k after Steam's cut $542k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$10.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Word Game2D Platformer
Aonatsu Line
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$242k–$652k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAdventure
月に寄りそう乙女の作法
2022
Est. copies
≈ 113k–184k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelWord Game
Billionaire Lovers
2021
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$78k–$209k after Steam's cut $141k–$322k before Steam's cut
$2.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Hamidashi Creative
2022
Est. copies
≈ 63k–103k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$521k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $946k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureCasual
灾厄黑龙与谎言公主
2025
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$260k–$698k after Steam's cut $472k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Otome Riron to Sono Shuuhen -École de Paris-
2023
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$408k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $742k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualAdventure
Koi x Shin Ai Kanojo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 45k–72k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$429k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $780k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAdventure

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