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How many copies did Magical Delicacy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$49k–$132k after Steam's cut $89k–$202k before Steam's cut
from 287 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magical Delicacy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magical Delicacy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 206k–629k
best case 810k (Disney Dreamlight Valley)
Games like Magical Delicacy

A typical game among these

≈ 206k–629k copies

≈ $1.4M–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Disney Dreamlight Valley at ≈ 617k–1.0M copies, ≈ $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (4 of 8) and Metroidvania (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Life Sim + Character Customization, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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IndieAction
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3.0x vs typical
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RPGIndie

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