How much revenue did Momodora: Moonlit Farewell make?

$382k–$1.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Momodora: Moonlit Farewell sell?

Q: How many copies did Momodora: Moonlit Farewell sell?

82k to 133k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 82k–133k; $382k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $695k–$1.6M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Momodora: Moonlit Farewell and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Momodora: Moonlit Farewell's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–4.3M

best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)

Games like Momodora: Moonlit Farewell

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–4.3M copies

≈ $31.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut

from ~72k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the range was 15k to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Metroidvania (5 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Indie + Souls-like; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ori and the Blind Forest 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Blasphemous 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut	$34.99	68k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Skul: The Hero Slayer 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.9M–$21.2M after Steam's cut $14.3M–$32.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	58k reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 3.0M–4.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	72k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Ori and the Will of the Wisps 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulMetroidvania
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 7.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut	$69.99	87k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure