How much revenue did Outpath make?

$321k–$863k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Outpath sell?

Q: How many copies did Outpath sell?

78k to 126k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 78k–126k; $321k–$863k after Steam's cut $583k–$1.3M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outpath and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outpath's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.5M–11.4M

best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)

Games like Outpath

A typical game among these

≈ 9.5M–11.4M copies

≈ $99.6M–$137.4M after Steam's cut

from ~318k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 180k reviews in their first month; the range was 86k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $45.
When they shipped: 4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Satisfactory 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingAutomation
Schedule I 2025	Est. copies ≈ 7.9M–12.8M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	318k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Co-op
ASTRONEER 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $33.1M–$89.1M after Steam's cut $60.2M–$137.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	139k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerOpen World
Sons Of The Forest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–12.9M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	321k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Raft 2022	Est. copies ≈ 9.4M–15.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	379k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalMultiplayer