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How many copies did Sugar Tanks sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 44 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sugar Tanks and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sugar Tanks's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 342–570
best case 749 (Tanks, But No Tanks)
Games like Sugar Tanks

A typical game among these

≈ 342–570 copies

≈ $709–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~16 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tanks, But No Tanks at ≈ 570–927 copies, ≈ $1k–$3k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 15.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Bullet Hell (7 of 8) and Tanks (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Top-Down Shooter + Bullet Hell, priced around $8.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tanks, But No Tanks
2023
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$7.99
23 reviews
Positive
Top-Down ShooterBullet Hell
OrbiTank
2022
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
16 reviews
Positive
Local MultiplayerCasual
Tanklike
2020
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$750–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$9.99
11 reviews
Positive
ActionArcade
Saffron Fields
2022
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$872–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$7.99
16 reviews
Positive
TanksPhysics
Techno Tanks
2021
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$579–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
17 reviews
Positive
TanksArcade
Laser Tanks
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$776–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$5.99
19 reviews
Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
BATTLE PART
2022
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61–$164 after Steam's cut $110–$252 before Steam's cut
$0.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
ActionShooter
Tank Warz!
2022
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$191–$512 after Steam's cut $347–$788 before Steam's cut
$3.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Arena ShooterBullet Hell

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.