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How big is OrbiTank?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 397–645
from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OrbiTank and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OrbiTank's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–1.5M
best case 9.4M (Kerbal Space Program)
Games like OrbiTank

A typical game among these

≈ 1.1M–1.5M copies

≈ $8.7M–$14.4M after Steam's cut

from ~34k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kerbal Space Program at ≈ 7.2M–11.7M copies, ≈ $79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 608 to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Space (6 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Simulation, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Building + Sandbox + Space Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
Kerbal Space Program
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.7M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$79.0M–$212.3M after Steam's cut $143.6M–$326.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SpaceSimulation
Trailmakers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceAction
Space Engineers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSandbox
Model Builder: Complete Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$174k–$469k after Steam's cut $317k–$721k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Immersive SimSandbox
Hardspace: Shipbreaker
2022
Est. copies
≈ 557k–905k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSci-fi
ShellShock Live
2020
Est. copies
≈ 883k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
TanksMultiplayer
Empyrion - Galactic Survival
2020
Est. copies
≈ 854k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.6M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Mostly Positive

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