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How many copies did I, the Forgotten One sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before the cut
from 200 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left I, the Forgotten One out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including I, the Forgotten One's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–7.3M
best case 9.7M (Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord)
Games like I, the Forgotten One

The middle of these games

≈ 3.9M–7.3M copies

≈ $49.9M–$89.2M after Steam's cut

from ~98k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies, ≈ $101.3M–$272.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 200k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Medieval (6 of 8) and War (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $50.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crusader Kings III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$48.9M–$131.6M after Steam's cut $89.0M–$202.5M before the cut
$49.99
144k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyMedieval
This War of Mine
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.1M–$80.9M after Steam's cut $54.7M–$124.4M before the cut
$19.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalWar
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before the cut
$39.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.0M–$70.0M after Steam's cut $47.4M–$107.7M before the cut
$39.99
95k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Spec Ops: The Line
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichThird-Person Shooter
Love Decision
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before the cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Visual NovelDating Sim
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.3M–$272.4M after Steam's cut $184.2M–$419.1M before the cut
$49.99
297k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
FOR HONOR™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.6M–$125.4M after Steam's cut $84.8M–$192.9M before the cut
$29.99
164k reviews
Mixed
MedievalSwordplay

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