How much revenue did [SUBJECT] make?

$6k–$15k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did [SUBJECT] sell?

Q: How many copies did [SUBJECT] sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 94 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$24k before Steam's cut; from 94 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid [SUBJECT] and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including [SUBJECT]'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 340k–786k

best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)

Games like [SUBJECT]

A typical game among these

≈ 340k–786k copies

≈ $1.7M–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 40k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (8 of 8) and Psychological Horror (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Supernatural + VR + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Still Wakes the Deep 2024	Est. copies ≈ 328k–533k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$34.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Psychological Horror Horror
Pacify 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$4.99	43k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
Detention 2017	Est. copies ≈ 407k–661k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut	$11.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
Phasmophobia 2020	Est. copies ≈ 20.9M–33.9M 71x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	842k reviews Very Positive	HorrorOnline Co-Op
港詭實錄ParanormalHK 2020	Est. copies ≈ 510k–829k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	21k reviews Very Positive	HorrorSexual Content
Alan Wake's American Nightmare 2012	Est. copies ≈ 688k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$8.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Stories Untold 2017	Est. copies ≈ 190k–309k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $523k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $950k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Very Positive	AdventureText-Based
Fears to Fathom - Ironbark Lookout 2023	Est. copies ≈ 160k–260k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $439k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $799k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric