How much revenue did DARK make?

$243k–$654k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did DARK sell?

Q: How many copies did DARK sell?

89k to 144k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 89k–144k; $243k–$654k after Steam's cut $443k–$1.0M before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DARK and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DARK's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 59k–484k

best case 1.0M (Vampyr)

Games like DARK

A typical game among these

≈ 59k–484k copies

≈ $477k–$6.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Vampire (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Vampyr at ≈ 772k–1.3M copies, ≈ $8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 939 reviews in their first month; the range was 110 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Vampire (4 of 8) and Stealth (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Vampire + Choices Matter, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DEADBOLT 2016	Est. copies ≈ 235k–382k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthPixel Graphics
Vampire Mansion 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25k–40k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut	$3.99	995 reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNSFW
Redfall 2023	Est. copies ≈ 117k–190k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Mostly Negative	Open WorldCo-op
墲人之境-无人之境 2023	Est. copies ≈ 45k–73k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionPvP
Blood Omen 2: Legacy of Kain 2013	Est. copies ≈ 78k–127k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $150k–$403k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut	$6.99	1k reviews Mixed	ActionVampire
Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines 2007	Est. copies ≈ 973k–1.6M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.3M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	15k reviews Very Positive	RPGVampire
Werewolf: The Apocalypse - Earthblood 2022	Est. copies ≈ 44k–72k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $367k–$986k after Steam's cut $667k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mixed	ActionAdventure
Vampyr 2018	Est. copies ≈ 772k–1.3M 7.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut $15.4M–$35.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	25k reviews Mostly Positive	VampireRPG