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How many copies did Redfall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 112k–183k
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Mostly Negative)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Redfall out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Redfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20.2M–28.8M
best case 123.4M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
The Open World genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 20.2M–28.8M copies
≈ $220.4M–$324.0M after Steam's cut
from ~528k reviews
Best case
≈ 94.0M–152.8M copies
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry PvP + Survival + Battle Royale; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2020, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.0M–152.8M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.5M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
564k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Destiny 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 19.0M–30.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
660k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayOpen World
Rust
2018
Est. copies
≈ 42.0M–68.3M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$462.1M–$1242.5M after Steam's cut $840.2M–$1911.5M before the cut
$39.99
1.4M reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalCrafting
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 22.8M–37.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$156.7M–$421.4M after Steam's cut $285.0M–$648.3M before the cut
$24.99
492k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10.0M–16.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$82.3M–$221.3M after Steam's cut $149.7M–$340.5M before the cut
$29.99
378k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$194.6M–$523.2M after Steam's cut $353.8M–$804.9M before the cut
$49.99
466k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 40.0M–64.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
768k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.