How much revenue did DEADBOLT make?

$645k–$1.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did DEADBOLT sell?

Q: How many copies did DEADBOLT sell?

235k to 382k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 235k–382k; $645k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DEADBOLT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DEADBOLT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 690k–1.3M

best case 2.6M (Rain World)

Games like DEADBOLT

A typical game among these

≈ 690k–1.3M copies

≈ $2.9M–$11.3M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Stealth (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Rain World at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Stealth (3 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Exploration, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Streets of Rogue 2019	Est. copies ≈ 665k–1.1M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Rogue-liteAction Roguelike
Rain World 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	58k reviews Very Positive	DifficultAtmospheric
Quantum Break 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $14.2M–$38.3M after Steam's cut $25.9M–$58.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	31k reviews Very Positive	ActionStory Rich
Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$16.99	10k reviews Very Positive	PuzzlePixel Graphics
Gunpoint 2013	Est. copies ≈ 843k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StealthIndie
Monaco: What's Yours Is Mine 2013	Est. copies ≈ 538k–875k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Co-op Stealth
Party Hard 2015	Est. copies ≈ 619k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsStealth
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad 2015	Est. copies ≈ 490k–796k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before Steam's cut	$0.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Arcade2D