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How many copies did The Killing Antidote sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 195k–317k
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Killing Antidote and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Killing Antidote's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 452k–815k
best case 4.1M (Resident Evil 3)
Games like The Killing Antidote

A typical game among these

≈ 452k–815k copies

≈ $1.3M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 3 at ≈ 3.1M–5.1M copies, ≈ $34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (5 of 8) and Nudity (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Horror, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Remake + Horror + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
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12k reviews
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HunieCam Studio
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≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
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Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
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13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeNudity
Resident Evil 3
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
9.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$34.6M–$93.1M after Steam's cut $62.9M–$143.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
127k reviews
Very Positive
ActionZombies
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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Dead Island: Riptide Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 544k–884k
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Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
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ZombiesCo-op
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