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How many copies did Desktop Dungeons sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 59k–95k
$242k–$650k after Steam's cut $439k–$1000k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Desktop Dungeons and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Desktop Dungeons's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.7M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Desktop Dungeons

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.7M copies

≈ $6.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (6 of 8) and Turn-Based (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Stoneshard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Mostly Positive
For The King
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOnline Co-Op
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
6.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Battle Brothers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
100% Orange Juice
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$6.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeBoard Game

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