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How many copies did Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–6k
best case 19k (Combots)
Games like Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–6k copies

≈ $5k–$16k after Steam's cut

from ~97 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Combots at ≈ 15k–24k copies, ≈ $20k–$54k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 50 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 303.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (7 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + FPS, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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