How much revenue did Harpagun make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Harpagun sell?

Q: How many copies did Harpagun sell?

471 to 766 copies, based on its 19 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 471–766; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 19 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Harpagun and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Harpagun's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 921k–1.2M

best case 7.6M (Far Cry® 5)

Games like Harpagun

A typical game among these

≈ 921k–1.2M copies

≈ $20.5M–$31.4M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Far Cry® 5 at ≈ 5.8M–9.4M copies, ≈ $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 49k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Classic, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 1998 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Outer Worlds 2020	Est. copies ≈ 702k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	28k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction RPG
Half-Life 1998	Est. copies ≈ 10.4M–16.9M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	164k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
High On Life 2022	Est. copies ≈ 640k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	26k reviews Very Positive	ComedyFPS
DEATHLOOP 2021	Est. copies ≈ 756k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.5M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	30k reviews Mostly Positive	FPSAction
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.6M 4.6x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	139k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorTeam-Based
Atomic Heart 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	56k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentFPS
Far Cry® 6 2023	Est. copies ≈ 912k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.5M after Steam's cut $27.4M–$62.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	37k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldFPS
Far Cry® 5 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.8M–9.4M 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	190k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction-Adventure