How much revenue did The Outer Worlds make?

The Outer Worlds is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did The Outer Worlds sell?

Q: How many copies did The Outer Worlds sell?

702k to 1.1M copies, based on its 28k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 702k–1.1M; from 28k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Outer Worlds and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Outer Worlds's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.8M–14.6M

best case 27.5M (Fallout 4)

Games like The Outer Worlds

A typical game among these

≈ 5.8M–14.6M copies

≈ $97.1M–$193.7M after Steam's cut

from ~182k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout 4 at ≈ 21.0M–34.1M copies, ≈ $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 93k reviews in their first month; the range was 25k to 171k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (8 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Post-apocalyptic, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Fallout: New Vegas 2010	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Hogwarts Legacy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut	$59.99	375k reviews Very Positive	MagicOpen World
The Elder Scrolls® Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	162k reviews Very Positive	RPGMMORPG
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	189k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAdventure
Assassin's Creed® Origins 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $73.3M–$197.2M after Steam's cut $133.3M–$303.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	129k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAssassin
Starfield 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	175k reviews Mixed	SpaceSingleplayer