How much revenue did Desperate Vlad make?

$9k–$23k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Desperate Vlad sell?

Q: How many copies did Desperate Vlad sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 84 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut; from 84 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Desperate Vlad and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Desperate Vlad's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 63k–81k

best case 1.3M (Quake Champions)

Games like Desperate Vlad

A typical game among these

≈ 63k–81k copies

≈ $360k–$695k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Quake Champions at ≈ 972k–1.6M copies, ≈ $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 501 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 33k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arena Shooter (7 of 8) and Hero Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Arena Shooter + Hero Shooter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Fast-Paced + Gore; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Accurate Adjacent Ballistics Simulator 2024	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$732 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$9.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	VRArena Shooter
oVRshot 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	71 reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Challenge Speedball 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	105 reviews Mixed	ActionSports
Quake Champions 2022	Est. copies ≈ 972k–1.6M 21x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	39k reviews Mostly Positive	Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Monday Night Combat 2011	Est. copies ≈ 76k–124k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $105k–$282k after Steam's cut $190k–$433k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Hero ShooterAction
Rollerdrome 2022	Est. copies ≈ 57k–92k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $467k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $850k–$1.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionSports
Rocket Arena 2020	Est. copies ≈ 44k–72k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mixed	Hero ShooterThird-Person Shooter
Gridiron 2020	Est. copies ≈ 50k–81k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessSports