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How many copies did Monday Night Combat sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 76k–124k
$105k–$282k after Steam's cut $190k–$433k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Monday Night Combat and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Monday Night Combat's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 610k–1.3M
best case 1.7M (Plants vs. Zombies™ Garden Warfare 2: Deluxe Edition)
Games like Monday Night Combat

A typical game among these

≈ 610k–1.3M copies

≈ $6.1M–$13.1M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Plants vs. Zombies™ Garden Warfare 2: Deluxe Edition at ≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies, ≈ $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (5 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Hero Shooter, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Plants vs. Zombies: Battle for Neighborville™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 468k–760k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerThird-Person Shooter
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 918k–1.5M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
Primal Carnage: Extinction
2015
Est. copies
≈ 484k–786k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$12.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursMultiplayer
Plants vs. Zombies™ Garden Warfare 2: Deluxe Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$42.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
51k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesHero Shooter
TheDawn
2020
Est. copies
≈ 213k–346k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
Gears 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 729k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Century: Age of Ashes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 456k–741k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayDragons

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