How much revenue did Gears 5 make?

$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gears 5 sell?

Q: How many copies did Gears 5 sell?

729k to 1.2M copies, based on its 25k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 729k–1.2M; $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut; from 25k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gears 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gears 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.9M–42.5M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Gears 5

A typical game among these

≈ 7.9M–42.5M copies

≈ $100.6M–$284.2M after Steam's cut

from ~324k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (5 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tom Clancy's Ghost Recon® Wildlands 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $54.5M–$146.6M after Steam's cut $99.2M–$225.6M before Steam's cut	$49.99	115k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldShooter
Risk of Rain 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $60.2M–$161.9M after Steam's cut $109.5M–$249.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	353k reviews Very Positive	Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 8.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Arma 3 2013	Est. copies ≈ 18.7M–30.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	296k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryAction
Just Cause™ 3 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
HELLDIVERS™ 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 28.9M–46.9M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.2M reviews Mostly Positive	Online Co-OpPvE
World of Warships 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	157k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayNaval Combat
Warframe 2013	Est. copies ≈ 42.9M–69.7M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	678k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayAction RPG