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wishvane

How big is TheDawn?

Estimated owners
≈ 227k–369k
from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left TheDawn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TheDawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–10.1M
best case 123.4M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 1.4M–10.1M copies
≈ $67.2M–$139.8M after Steam's cut
from ~156k reviews
Best case
≈ 94.0M–152.8M copies
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (4 of 8) and Battle Royale (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry PvP + Shooter + Battle Royale; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2026, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
POLYGON
2020
Est. copies
≈ 974k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayFPS
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.0M–152.8M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
World of Warships
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
156k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayNaval Combat
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 10.7M–17.3M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$88.0M–$236.6M after Steam's cut $160.0M–$363.9M before the cut
$29.99
445k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
CRSED: Cuisine Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.6M–$171.0M after Steam's cut $115.6M–$263.1M before the cut
$24.99
351k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 963k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before the cut
$34.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.