How much revenue did Arms Race 2 make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Arms Race 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Arms Race 2 sell?

322 to 524 copies, based on its 13 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 322–524; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut; from 13 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arms Race 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arms Race 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98–196

best case 6.1M (Crusader Kings II)

Games like Arms Race 2

A typical game among these

≈ 98–196 copies

≈ $302–$755 after Steam's cut

from ~5 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Crusader Kings II at ≈ 4.7M–7.6M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

The games that made it here had under 44 reviews in their first month.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Grand Strategy (8 of 8) and Political Sim (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Political Sim, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry War + Historical; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Asia Empire 2027 2022	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $110–$294 after Steam's cut $200–$453 before Steam's cut	$7.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	SimulationStrategy
Middle East Empire 2027 2022	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $435–$1k after Steam's cut $791–$2k before Steam's cut	$7.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	SimulationStrategy
World Empire 2027 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k 17x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $12k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut	$19.99	85 reviews Mostly Positive	WarStrategy
Crusader Kings II 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.7M–7.6M 14743x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	74k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy
Deus Lo Veult 2021	Est. copies ≈ 149–242 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut	$9.99	6 reviews 6 user reviews	SimulationStrategy
Africa Empire 2027 2022	Est. copies ≈ 124–202 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $272–$735 after Steam's cut $495–$1k before Steam's cut	$7.99	5 reviews 5 user reviews	SimulationStrategy
Latin America Empire 2027 2022	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before Steam's cut	$7.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	SimulationStrategy
逐鹿问鼎：君王成长计划/Strive For Power:King Growth Program 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k 16x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	82 reviews Mixed	Grand StrategyHistorical