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How many copies did Chess Defense Saga sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chess Defense Saga and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chess Defense Saga's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 619–1k
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Chess Defense Saga

A typical game among these

≈ 619–1k copies

≈ $2k–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~23 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 42.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tactical RPG (6 of 8) and Tower Defense (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Turn-Based Strategy + Character Customization + CRPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
8970x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
Toy War - Cannon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$152k before Steam's cut
$199.99
27 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerTactical RPG
Mystery Of Dust
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$3.99
52 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGStrategy
Pest Control
2021
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$517–$1k after Steam's cut $940–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
19 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based TacticsExploration
Rogue Citadel
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
19 reviews
Positive
Tower DefenseAction Roguelike
Burg Battle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15 reviews
Positive
RPGStrategy
Legacy of Sin: Blood Oath
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$7.99
43 reviews
Mixed
StrategyFantasy
ChibiClubTD
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut
$1.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CuteStrategy

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