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How many copies did Mystery Of Dust sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 52 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mystery Of Dust and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mystery Of Dust's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 885k–1.5M
best case 13.1M (7 Days to Die)
Games like Mystery Of Dust

A typical game among these

≈ 885k–1.5M copies

≈ $8.7M–$9.5M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Base-Building (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 7 Days to Die at ≈ 9.9M–16.2M copies, ≈ $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (3 of 8) and Survival (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry PvE + Trading Card Game + Stylized; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
3.1x vs typical
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PvETrading Card Game
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
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401k reviews
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SurvivalZombies
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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$24.99
23k reviews
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2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
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Dungeons 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 644k–1.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before Steam's cut
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StrategyVillain Protagonist
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Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
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$5.0M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
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19k reviews
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Free to PlayStrategy

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