How much revenue did TerraScape make?

$230k–$618k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did TerraScape sell?

Q: How many copies did TerraScape sell?

56k to 91k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 56k–91k; $230k–$618k after Steam's cut $418k–$951k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TerraScape and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TerraScape's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 66.9M–104.8M

best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)

Games like TerraScape

A typical game among these

≈ 66.9M–104.8M copies

≈ $475.7M–$867.5M after Steam's cut

from ~1.3M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Shooter + FPS. The breakout hits carry Action + Shooter + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Team Fortress 2 2007	Est. copies ≈ 79.1M–128.6M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.3M reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayHero Shooter
Counter-Strike 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M 7.4x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9.9M reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
ELDEN RING 2022	Est. copies ≈ 28.7M–46.6M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	1.2M reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeOpen World
Terraria 2011	Est. copies ≈ 98.5M–160.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.6M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSandbox