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How many copies did The Aching sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 620–1k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 25 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Aching and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Aching's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 33k–129k
best case 1.1M (Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk)
Games like The Aching

A typical game among these

≈ 33k–129k copies

≈ $298k–$578k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk at ≈ 853k–1.4M copies, ≈ $349k–$939k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and Psychological Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Psychological Horror, priced around $1. The breakout hits carry Experimental + Abstract + Psychological; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

My Lovely Daughter
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Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$165k–$442k after Steam's cut $299k–$681k before Steam's cut
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1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Interactive FictionVisual Novel
Hello Charlotte EP2: Requiem Aeternam Deo
2016
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≈ 102k–165k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 853k–1.4M
26x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Who's Lila?
2022
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$313k–$843k after Steam's cut $570k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$11.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Kentucky Route Zero: PC Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 282k–459k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
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2018
Est. copies
≈ 29k–48k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$162k–$434k after Steam's cut $294k–$668k before Steam's cut
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Answer Knot
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≈ 21k–35k
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My Big Sister
2018
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$34k–$92k after Steam's cut $62k–$142k before Steam's cut
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686 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure

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