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How many copies did Kentucky Route Zero: PC Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 282k–459k
$1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kentucky Route Zero: PC Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kentucky Route Zero: PC Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.5M–4.9M
best case 4.8M (Inscryption)
Games like Kentucky Route Zero: PC Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 2.5M–4.9M copies

≈ $16.8M–$36.2M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Inscryption at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 24 to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (5 of 8) and Puzzle (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Battler + Card Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Mouthwashing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut
$12.99
0 reviews
No user reviews
Inscryption
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerCard Game
Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
Papers, Please
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
81k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePolitical
CONTROL Ultimate Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSupernatural
OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Salamander County Public Television
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
$9.99
290 reviews
Very Positive
ActionArcade

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