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How many copies did Heavy Armored Assassin sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 223–363
$183–$494 after Steam's cut $333–$760 before Steam's cut
from 9 reviews (9 user reviews)
Only 9 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heavy Armored Assassin and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heavy Armored Assassin's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 516k–820k
best case 7.9M (Squad)
Games like Heavy Armored Assassin

A typical game among these

≈ 516k–820k copies

≈ $4.4M–$9.4M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Squad at ≈ 6.0M–9.8M copies, ≈ $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 967 to 57k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Realistic (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Military + Realistic, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry War + Tactical + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Operation: Harsh Doorstop
2023
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
21k reviews
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Free to PlayMilitary
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Isonzo
2022
Est. copies
≈ 429k–696k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut
$44.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericSimulation
Holdfast: Nations At War
2020
Est. copies
≈ 734k–1.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterFPS
Tannenberg
2017
Est. copies
≈ 337k–548k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
GoreWorld War I
Verdun
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.6M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterCo-op
Six Days in Fallujah
2023
Est. copies
≈ 409k–665k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessTactical
Easy Red 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 377k–612k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$932k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$8.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
World War IIAction

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