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How many copies did A Twisted Path to Renown sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–27k
from 676 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Twisted Path to Renown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Twisted Path to Renown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 73k–1.5M
best case 10.6M (Hunt: Showdown 1896)
Games like A Twisted Path to Renown

A typical game among these

≈ 73k–1.5M copies

≈ $475k–$11.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Western (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Hunt: Showdown 1896 at ≈ 8.0M–13.1M copies, ≈ $66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 348 to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Western (4 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Extraction Shooter, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Call of Juarez: Gunslinger
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
WesternFPS
Heat
2020
Est. copies
≈ 73k–118k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$399k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $726k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalWestern
Gold Rush! Classic
2014
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$79k before Steam's cut
$2.99
416 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureAction
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
74x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Railway Empire 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$915k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationStrategy
This Land Is My Land
2021
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$953k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
The Day Before
2023
Est. copies
≈ 575k–934k
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Negative
MultiplayerZombies
Railroad Corporation 2
2026
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$116k–$313k after Steam's cut $212k–$482k before Steam's cut
$39.99
427 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessSimulation

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