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How many copies did OutRage: Fight Fest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
from 71 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OutRage: Fight Fest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OutRage: Fight Fest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–8k
best case 3.1M (Gang Beasts)
Games like OutRage: Fight Fest

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–8k copies

≈ $44k–$55k after Steam's cut

from ~199 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Gang Beasts at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 76 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 281.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Party (6 of 8) and Fighting (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 4 Player Local + Character Customization, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Headsnatchers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$188k–$505k after Steam's cut $342k–$777k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ActionCasual
A Gummy's Life
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$146k before Steam's cut
$19.99
211 reviews
Very Positive
Party GameCute
Divekick
2013
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
9.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$159k–$427k after Steam's cut $289k–$657k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
FightingIndie
Mad Streets
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$25k–$67k after Steam's cut $45k–$103k before Steam's cut
$14.99
243 reviews
Very Positive
PartyStylized
Brimstone Brawlers - Early Access
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
181 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessMultiplayer
Treadnauts
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$23k–$63k after Steam's cut $42k–$96k before Steam's cut
$14.99
186 reviews
Very Positive
PhysicsTanks
Rubber Bandits
2021
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
36x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $893k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Family FriendlyParty Game
Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
341x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.