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How many copies did Divekick sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 116k–188k
$159k–$427k after Steam's cut $289k–$657k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Divekick and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Divekick's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–4.3M
best case 4.4M (Mortal Kombat 11)
Games like Divekick

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies

≈ $40.3M–$71.1M after Steam's cut

from ~80k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mortal Kombat 11 at ≈ 3.4M–5.5M copies, ≈ $46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and 2D Fighter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + Gore, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
DRAGON BALL FighterZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.6M–$103.7M after Steam's cut $70.1M–$159.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAnime
GUILTY GEAR -STRIVE-
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.3M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Fighting2D Fighter
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
Mortal Kombat 11
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut
$49.99
116k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
Rock, Ken, Bo
2017
Est. copies
≈ 516–839
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$566–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
15 reviews
Positive
ActionIndie
HYPERFIGHT
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
914 reviews
Very Positive
Free to Play2D Fighter
zoku sonohigurashi vs touhou universe 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$9.99
16 reviews
Positive
ActionIndie

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