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How many copies did Radical Road sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$190–$511 after Steam's cut $345–$786 before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Radical Road and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Radical Road's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 244–820
best case 6k (Riverbond)
Games like Radical Road

A typical game among these

≈ 244–820 copies

≈ $228–$846 after Steam's cut

from ~12 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Riverbond at ≈ 5k–8k copies, ≈ $32k–$86k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 7.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Voxel (8 of 8) and Arcade (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeon Crawler + Voxel, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Dungeon Crawler + 4 Player Local + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. revenue
$284–$764 after Steam's cut $517–$1k before Steam's cut
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CasualSimulation
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ArcadeCute
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2.3x vs typical
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IndieAction
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Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
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$250–$671 after Steam's cut $454–$1k before Steam's cut
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37 reviews
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ActionIsometric
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≈ 149–242
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$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before Steam's cut
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6 user reviews
CasualIdler
Riverbond
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$24.99
161 reviews
Very Positive
CAPTROON
2022
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
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Rogue-likeAdventure
The Echoes of Mars
2024
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
1.6x vs typical
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$517–$1k after Steam's cut $940–$2k before Steam's cut
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CasualStrategy

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